date: Fri Jan 14 16:53:45 2000
from: Mike Hulme <m.hulmeatXYZxyz.ac.uk>
subject: Re: Meeting on Monday
to: John Shepherd <John.G.ShepherdatXYZxyz.soton.ac.uk>
I had just sent out the note to Hadley before yours came. Never mind. No harm done.
See you Monday.
At 16:02 14/01/00 -0500, you wrote:
> Here are a few comments (see annotations in CAPS below) : sorry it's so
>late (it's turned into one of those days...). Apart from these fairly minor
>quibbles I think this is a good basis for discussion.
>At 12:04 14/01/00 +0000, Mike Hulme wrote:
>>Tom and John,
>>Here is a 1-pager as a discussion starter for the Monday meeting (1100 at
>>Hadley). Let me have any comments on this ASAP and I will then send off a
>>version to Alan Thorpe. Clearly we can say more verbally, but I thought it
>>helpful to set the ball rolling in this way.
>>Some Notes on the Relationship between
>>the Proposed Tyndall Climate Centre Research Centre and the Hadley Centre
>>We have proposed three key roles for the Tyndall Centre:
>>� Interdisciplinary research: the deployment of experienced,
>>inter-disciplinary research teams, to investigate novel approaches,
>>thinking laterally across natural, social and engineering sciences.
>>� Engagement with stakeholders: the execution of research in which we
>>evaluate - with their developers - ways of mobilising new technologies,
>>lifestyles, and regulatory mechanisms to allow us to manage climate change
>>in the twenty-first century.
>>� Constructive, opinion-forming debate: the establishment of a focal point
>>in the UK, through which we encourage open and constructive debate about
>>climate change solutions across major cultural and organisational divides -
>>public-private, households-corporations, North-South.
>>Some Areas of Interaction with the Hadley Centre:
>>� The HC is a world-class climate modelling centre and the Tyndall Centre
>>(TC) will draw upon results from this modelling effort in designing UK and
>>worldwide climate scenarios for use in its activities. In fact, we
>>envisage that the Tyndall Centre can easily build on the existing
>>collaborationS between HC, UKCIP, and SOUTHAMPTON (SOC) AND UEA (CRU) in
>this area (e.g. the LINK
>>facility). We would like to work with the HC in the design of their (e.g.
>>RCM) model experiments that would most benefit the TC.
>>� At global and regional scales we would like to work with the Hadley
>>Centre in improving the interpretation of future scenarios of climate
>>change for an array of human-related impacts. While some work has been
>>done in this area with DETR support, we believe that the expertise of the
>>Tyndall Centre can be engaged to refine the impact models and assessments
>>that are made. This may offer the prospect for assimilating certain
>>additional model components into future generations of the Hadley Centre
>>� The Tyndall Centre would like to work with the HC in the design and
>>calibration of reduced-COMPLEXITY(?) models which are likely to play a
>part in a
>>number of TC research activities. Existing collaboration between HC and
>>CRU is an example of such activity, but we would see this extending into
>>more comprehensive reduced-COMPLEXITY(?) models that can replicate HC
>>more dimensions (NOT CLEAR : RE-PHRASE: EG "FOR USE IN A MORE COMPLEX
>SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONTEXT"). In particular, we would ALSO like to explore the
>>reduced-form models to emulate the behaviour of the Hadley Centre model in
>>relation to rapid, non-linear changes. We see such low probability,
>>high-risk futures as having an important bearing on decision-making in some
>>areas of climate policy. There is scope here also for stochastic and
>>� The Tyndall Centre will embark on an effort to design a second-generation
>>INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT tool to be incorporated within a Decision Support
>System for use by
>>public and private policy-makers. This will include the adaptive
>>co-evolution of human actors alongside biogeochemical systems and will
>>likely initially be designed for a UK region. Such a tool will draw upon
>>insights gained in the previous three areas of TC-HC interaction.
>>� There may be selective areas where the expertise of the TC could be
>>engaged by the HC to further develop aspects of the Hadley model. One
>>example may be in the area of atmospheric chemistry with
>>UEA/UMIST/Cambridge contributing a particularly significant expertise.
>>Some Operational Issues
>>� We would like to consider the possible involvement of the Hadley Centre
>>in the Advisory Board of the Tyndall Centre.
>>� We would like to consider the possibility of extended (e.g. 3-month)
>>exchanges between HC/TC scientists funded by the Tyndall Centre, to allow
>>for exchanges between more physically-oriented HC scientists and more
>>impact/socially-oriented TC scientists.
>>� We would like to consider options for joint TC/HC proposals (plus other
>>[European] partners) to the EU AND ELSEWHERE, for work on certain integrated
>>dimensions of climate change science.
>>� There are a number of bi-lateral co-operative activities between HC and
>>TC members. We should discuss the implications for these of winning the
>>Centre (and also of losing it!).
>>Mike Hulme, 14th January 2000
>>At 11:24 14/01/00 -0000, you wrote:
>>>Do we have an agenda for the Hadley Centre meeting ?
>Please note that Southampton has a new telephone area code (see below)
>Earth System Modelling Initiative
>School of Ocean & Earth Science
>Southampton Oceanography Centre
>University of Southampton
>Southampton SO14 3ZH