Tuesday, May 22, 2012

4571.txt

date: Thu, 4 Jan 2007 16:29:32 -0000
from: "Folland, Chris" <chris.follandatXYZxyzoffice.gov.uk>
subject: RE: This and that
to: "Phil Jones" <p.jonesatXYZxyz.ac.uk>

Phil

Please email a scan of your 1988 article. There has been some debate re
seasonal f/c about whether serious N. Atlantic/Europe blocking might
develop in next 3 weeks. There is a stratospheric warming occurring and
a moderate if slightly fading El Nino which are conducive between them.
But only a moderate signal exists in principle.

Chris


Prof. Chris Folland
Head of Climate Variability Research

Met Office, Hadley Centre, Fitzroy Rd, Exeter, Devon EX1 3PB United
Kingdom
Email: chris.follandatXYZxyzoffice.gov.uk
Tel: +44 (0)1392 886646
Fax: (in UK) 0870 900 5050
(International) +44 (0)113 336 1072)
<http://www.metoffice.gov.uk>
Fellow of the Met Office
Hon. Professor of School of Environmental Sciences, University of East
Anglia




-----Original Message-----
From: Phil Jones [mailto:p.jones@uea.ac.uk]
Sent: 04 January 2007 16:15
To: Folland, Chris
Subject: RE: This and that


Chris,
Will do. As long as you refer to my Climate Monitor article from
1988!
Co-ordination worked fine on the 2006 numbers this year. So let's
try and get the forecast in this time. Also , hopefully, we will be
able to
say how successful it will be.

I just checked our web checking thing on google. There are over
150 with me, CRU and UEA in, in the last 3 hours! It seems as though
the US has finally woken up.

The funniest one was a British one, which also got a forecast from
Piers Corbyn, who said it will be snowing by mid-Jan. Several have
emailed in responses, saying he said that for mid-Dec as well!!

Cheers
Phil


At 16:01 04/01/2007, you wrote:
>Phil
>
>It will be done and its now second paper on the list. You can be a
>reviewer! The amount of admin here has risen several fold this year and

>my group has expanded by 1/3rd since Tuesday. Discuss sometime.
>
>Your own forecast has merely served to increase the profile of mine
>here and everywhere else it seems! So don't worry - but next year we
>should consult on this. The 2007 forecast got delayed here for
>technical admin reasons - and Defras nervousness to some extent.
>
>Chris
>
>
>Prof. Chris Folland
>Head of Climate Variability Research
>
>Met Office, Hadley Centre, Fitzroy Rd, Exeter, Devon EX1 3PB United
>Kingdom
>Email: chris.follandatXYZxyzoffice.gov.uk
>Tel: +44 (0)1392 886646
>Fax: (in UK) 0870 900 5050
> (International) +44 (0)113 336 1072)
><http://www.metoffice.gov.uk> Fellow of the Met Office Hon. Professor
>of School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia
>
>
>
>
>-----Original Message-----
>From: Phil Jones [mailto:p.jones@uea.ac.uk]
>Sent: 04 January 2007 13:51
>To: Folland, Chris
>Subject: This and that
>
>
> > Chris,
>
>
> Hope your PC is back!
>
> May be worth considering writing up the Global T forecast
> method for a short paper. It seems to have generated a lot of
>interest.
> Likely to get more each year, as with a 0.2 deg C trend per decade,
> each El Nino event could make that year the warmest. Also
> it could discuss the independence (or not) of El Nino from global
> warming. Last is most difficult.
>
> It would be better to try and keep the forecast together with
the
> annual summary in one press release. Gets it over with in one go.
>
> Finally success with David Warrilow. He's found the said
> DoE report from ages ago and is sending me a photocopy.
> Also Geoff Jenkins and John Mitchell have been asked if they
> can provide any more insight !
>
> Cheers
> Phil
>
>
>
>
>Prof. Phil Jones
>Climatic Research Unit Telephone +44 (0) 1603 592090
>School of Environmental Sciences Fax +44 (0) 1603 507784
>University of East Anglia
>Norwich Email p.jonesatXYZxyz.ac.uk
>NR4 7TJ
>UK
>-----------------------------------------------------------------------
>-
>----

Prof. Phil Jones
Climatic Research Unit Telephone +44 (0) 1603 592090
School of Environmental Sciences Fax +44 (0) 1603 507784
University of East Anglia
Norwich Email p.jonesatXYZxyz.ac.uk
NR4 7TJ
UK
------------------------------------------------------------------------
----

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