Friday, June 1, 2012

4769.txt

date: Mon, 07 Feb 2005 21:46:29 +0000
from: "Folland, Chris" <chris.follandatXYZxyzoffice.gov.uk>
subject: FW: SCEPTICS
to: k.briffaatXYZxyz.ac.uk

Keith

Message failed first time - my fault. Please see below

Chris

Professor Chris Folland

Head of Climate Variability Research

Global climate data sets are available from http://www.hadobs.org

Met Office, Hadley Centre, Fitzroy Rd, Exeter, Devon EX1 3PB United
Kingdom
Email: chris.follandatXYZxyzoffice.gov.uk
Tel: +44 (0)1392 886646
Fax: (in UK) 0870 900 5050
(International) +44 (0)113 336 1072)<http://www.metoffice.gov.uk

Also: Hon. Professor of School of Environmental Sciences, University of
East Anglia



-----Original Message-----
From: Folland, Chris
Sent: 07 February 2005 21:43
To: OSBORN; BRIFFA KEITH (k.briffa@eua.ac.uk)
Subject: FW: SCEPTICS


Tim and Keith

Can you email the two papers below?

Thanks

Chris

Professor Chris Folland

Head of Climate Variability Research

Global climate data sets are available from http://www.hadobs.org

Met Office, Hadley Centre, Fitzroy Rd, Exeter, Devon EX1 3PB United
Kingdom
Email: chris.follandatXYZxyzoffice.gov.uk
Tel: +44 (0)1392 886646
Fax: (in UK) 0870 900 5050
(International) +44 (0)113 336 1072)<http://www.metoffice.gov.uk

Also: Hon. Professor of School of Environmental Sciences, University of
East Anglia



-----Original Message-----
From: f028 [mailto:f028@uea.ac.uk] On Behalf Of f028
Sent: 07 February 2005 18:31
To: Folland, Chris
Subject: RE: SCEPTICS


Chris,
Email Tim Osborn or Keith Briffa.
I've warned Tim. In Madrid till Feb 10.

Cheers
Phil
>===== Original Message From "Folland, Chris"
><chris.folland@metoffice.gov.uk>
=====
>Phil
>
>See below. I have been asked to reply - it's a message to John
>Houghton. Can
you email me Jones et al 1998 and the Briffa paper?
>
>Thanks
>
>Chris
>
>OBSERVATIONS OF A SKEPTIC
>In Sir Houghton's book Global Warming: the Complete Briefing ,
>published in
1994, he emphasizes (pp 51-52) the widespread evidence of a medieval
warm
period. This was also shown in the SAR.
>
>As of 1997, there were several studies offering hemispheric or global
averages:
>-The borehole records of Huang, Pollack and Shen, published in GRL in
>1997,
showing a strong MWP much warmer than today
>-The graphs of Briffa and Jones that appear in Figure 2.21 -The Mann
>hockey stick with the peak in the late 20th century
>
>THe hockey stick is the only reconstruction shown in the Summary (why?)
>and
is the sole basis for the claim that temperatures are the highest in
1000
years. On page 134 in the IPCC's Third Assessment Report the hockey
stick is
printed twice, in two half-page, full colour versions, one above the
other. In
Figure 2.20 it is graphed alone. In Figure 2.21 it is overlaid with one
graph
due to P. Jones and the other due to K. Briffa. The original Jones graph

(published in The Holocene in 1998) does not look like a hockey stick,
as the
"warmest" years are AD1106, AD1074, and AD1103, and the warmest decade
is the
1930s. This is not visible in the IPCC version because the line is so
heavily
smoothed (why?-- the Hockey stick is shown unsmoothed in Fig 2.20). The
original Briffa graph (published in Quaternary Science Reviews in 2000)
also
reaches peak values in the 11th century, but this is not visible in the
IPCC
presentation since the first 400 years were left out (why?).
>
>Two graphs of data based on borehole temperature measurements by Huang
>et al
don't look like the hockey stick either, but one is banished to a small
chart
on an earlier page (p. 132) and the other is mentioned in the text but
is not
reproduced at all. Why?
>
>
>
>
>Professor Chris Folland
>
>Head of Climate Variability Research
>
>Global climate data sets are available from http://www.hadobs.org
>
>Met Office, Hadley Centre, Fitzroy Rd, Exeter, Devon, EX1 3PB United
>Kingdom
>Email: chris.follandatXYZxyzoffice.gov.uk
>Tel: +44 (0)1392 886646
>Fax: (in UK) 0870 900 5050
> (International) +44 (0)113 336 1072)
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk
<http://www.metoffice.com/>
>
>Also: Hon. Professor of School of Environmental Sciences, University of
>East
Anglia

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