Friday, June 15, 2012


cc: "Dunford Simon Mr \(MAC\)" <>
date: Mon Mar 17 14:37:56 2008
from: Phil Jones <>
subject: FW: Temperatures Reuters question


Simon has passed your email onto me.
So far 2008 (for the globe) has been quite cold - only just above the 1961-90 average.
This is just January and February, so two coolish months comparable to
what happened in 1994 and 1996. 2008 therefore ranks well down.
This is just weather though. The La Nina should end soon - they usually
do in April/May.
See the press release. It tries to explain that human influences work on a
long timescale (> 5 years), whereas what dominates on shorter timescales is
weather and natural climate variability. Human influences are only 0.02 deg C
per year, but natural fluctuations can be of the order of +/- 0.15 differences per year.
What matters is the underlying trend. We haven't broken the 1998 record, but
we will do when the next El Nino event happens.
The warmest region of the NH during Jan and Feb has been western and northern Europe.

From: Alister Doyle [[2]]
Sent: Monday, March 17, 2008 11:45 AM
To: Dunford Simon Mr (MAC)
Subject: Temperatures Reuters question
Dear Simon,
wonder if you could please help me again at Reuters with a
question about how warm 2008 looks like being? I am planning a story to
run on Wednesday looking ahead to the first day of spring (on March 20)
in the northern hemisphere and how far ahead or behind world
temperatures are in 2008 compared to the historical averge.
Would Phil Jones or a colleague would be willing to comment as he has
helpfully done in the past? Either by mail or by phone?
I saw your release from Jan. 3 about 2008 being another top 10 year but
the ooolest since 2000
but a release on March 5 seems to show that January worldwide was the
chilliest for about 20 years
-- Is spring arriving early or late this year across the northern
hemisphere compared to the 1961-90 average? From the data available so
far, where does early 2008 rank in the historical list?
-- Where will 2008 rank on the overall list? (top 10/least warm since
-- Is La Nina fading: when will it end?
-- Some climate sceptics say "global warming has stopped" since the
warmest year was back in 1998. Is there anything to that?
My phones are (in Norway) (+47) 22 93 69 61 or cell (+47) 900 87 663
Best wishes, Alister
-----Original Message-----
From: Dunford Simon Mr (COMM) k821 [[5]]
Sent: 27. juli 2006 16:01
To: Alister Doyle; Dunford Simon Mr (COMM) k821
Subject: RE: David Viner press release
Great, thanks Alister. Let us know if we can help further.
Simon Dunford, Press Officer,
University of East Anglia,
Norwich, NR4 7TJ.
Tel:+44 (0)1603 592203
Diary date: 2-9 September 2006 - BA Festival of Science comes to
Norwich. Hosted by the University of East Anglia, the Norwich Research
Park and the city of Norwich.
>-----Original Message-----
>From: Alister Doyle [[8]]
>Sent: Thursday, July 27, 2006 2:49 PM
>To: Dunford Simon Mr (COMM) k821
>Subject: RE: David Viner press release
>Thanks Annie/Simon, this one made it - for some reason the first one
>fell through a crack on the way here. Must be the heat. I will run the
>story this afternoon.
>Best wishes,
>-----Original Message-----
>From: Dunford Simon Mr (COMM) k821 [[9]]
>Sent: 27. juli 2006 14:45
>To: Alister Doyle
>Subject: FW: David Viner press release
> Alister - it was sent over an hour ago. Trying again. Annie
>Simon Dunford, Press Officer,
>University of East Anglia,
>Norwich, NR4 7TJ.
>Tel:+44 (0)1603 592203
>Diary date: 2-9 September 2006 - BA Festival of Science comes to
>Norwich. Hosted by the University of East Anglia, the Norwich Research
>Park and the city of Norwich.
>-----Original Message-----
>From: Dunford Simon Mr (COMM) k821
>Sent: Thursday, July 27, 2006 1:14 PM
>To: ''
>Subject: David Viner press release
>Hi Alister
>Attached and pasted below is the press release, as requested. There is
>no embargo.
>Simon Dunford, Press Officer,
>University of East Anglia,
>Norwich, NR4 7TJ.
>Tel:+44 (0)1603 592203
>Diary date: 2-9 September 2006 - BA Festival of Science comes to
>Norwich. Hosted by the University of East Anglia, the Norwich Research
>Park and the city of Norwich.
>For immediate release Thursday 27th July 2006
>The Key Impacts of Climate Change on Tourism
>Climate change could dramatically change the face of tourism, according
>to a collection of new research papers on the impacts of climate change
>on tourism. The papers form a special issue of the Journal of
>Sustainable Tourism - one of the world's top 4 tourism research
>journals. Guest edited by David Viner, from the University of East
>Anglia's Climatic Research Unit, the collection draws on the work of
>experts from Canada, France, Italy, the Netherlands, New Zealand, the
>UK and USA.
>Existing research in this area has concentrated on the impact that
>travel for tourism is having on future climates. This collection gives
>research results for the opposite side of the climate/tourism coin,
>* The likelihood that Mediterranean summers may be too hot for
>tourists after 2020, as a result of too much heat and water shortages.
>* Opportunities for the revival of northern European resorts,
>including Blackpool, in the next twenty years, as climate change, and
>rising transport costs, offer new "local" holiday opportunities.
>* Impacts on the skiing industry, across Europe and North America,
>and the likely growth of artificial snow making to maintain skiing
>* The impact of increasing climatic unreliability, leading to
>droughts, debilitating heat waves, and fires, affecting the
>Mediterranean and key parts of Australia.
>* Problems and opportunities for nature tourism as climate change
>affects the fauna and flora of areas of bio-diversity, leading to
>changing visitor flows.
>* Ways forward, by changing travel and holiday period patterns,
>and by taking steps to mitigate impacts by using new building
>techniques and better resort planning,
>* Better coordination and dissemination of research work and its
>findings on a global basis.
>David Viner, Senior Research Scientist, Climatic Research Unit,
>University of East Anglia, said:
>"This research is the first major step to increasing our understanding
>of how climate change and tourism need to interact.
>Climate change will impact on many holiday destinations. For many this
>will be problematic, for others it will produce benefits.
>Policies are also being implemented that are likely to have an effect
>on the way we travel in the future."
>Bernard Lane, Co-Editor of the Journal of Sustainable Tourism, said:
>"This new collection partners our earlier special issue on Transport
>and Tourism published this year, which explored ways of reducing
>tourism travel's impact on the environment. Sustainable Tourism calls
>for a holistic approach to issues, working in partnership with the
>industry, the public sector and the market to ensure long term
>sustainable development."
>Notes to Editors:
>For a copy of the full report, contact Kathryn King at Multilingual
>Matters/Channel View Publications on +44 (0) 1275 876519 or
>David Viner leads the Climate Change Masters Programme at the
>University of East Anglia, UK, and is leading the international
>community who are addressing climate change and its interactions with
>tourism. David has been at the Climatic Research Unit for 15 years and
>has contributed to many international projects as well as to the IPCC
>(International Governmental Panel on Climate Change).
>The Journal of Sustainable Tourism was founded in 1993. Published by
>Channel View Publications from Clevedon, Bristol, it is read by
>researchers and decision makers in over 60 countries and 6 continents.
>Recent studies have ranked the journal as 4th out of the 70
>international tourism journals
>Contact Details:
>David Viner
>Climatic Research Unit
>School of Environmental Sciences
>University of East Anglia
>Norwich NR4 7TJ
>c/o UEA Press Office: +44 1603 592203
>Bernard Lane
>13 Pitch and Pay Lane
>Bristol BS9 1NH
>Tel: +44 117 9681178
>Channel View Publications
>Managing Director: Tommi Grover
>Frankfurt Lodge
>Clevedon Hall
>Victoria Road
>BS21 7HH
>Tel: 01275 876519
>To find out more about Reuters visit [14]
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>except where the sender specifically states them to be the views of
>Reuters Ltd.
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Prof. Phil Jones
Climatic Research Unit Telephone +44 (0) 1603 592090
School of Environmental Sciences Fax +44 (0) 1603 507784
University of East Anglia
Norwich Email

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